War is dead; we killed it

War is dead; we killed it. But in its place, no eternal peace has arisen. In its place, an endless “non-war” has emerged.
Today, I propose discussing a pressing contemporary issue in international law. Since this is an international forum, I think it would be very interesting to hear the positions of participants from different countries. Important: Let’s avoid insults directed at political figures, focus on the facts and legally significant circumstances, and together seek practical steps to resolve the problem.

INTRODUCTION:

Before the creation of the UN (after World War II), war was a legitimate attribute of sovereignty (jus ad bellum). A state could declare war as naturally as terminating a trade agreement. The UN Charter (Article 2(4)) prohibited not “war” as a term, but “the threat or use of force.”

The term International Armed Conflict (IAC) was introduced within the framework of the 1949 Geneva Conventions. The essence of the reform was precisely to move away from the subjective recognition of war and introduce certain “objective criteria.” Now, if soldiers from country A cross the border of country B and engage in combat, this is objectively an IAC, even if both sides claim to be “best friends” or conduct “exercises.”

UN General Assembly Resolution 3314 (1974) defined the concept of “aggression”:
Article 3 lists actions that qualify as an act of aggression, regardless of whether war has been declared:

  1. Invasion or attack by armed forces;
  2. Bombardment or use of weapons against territory;
  3. Blockade of ports or coasts;
  4. Sending “armed bands, groups, irregular forces, or mercenaries.”

WHY “WAR” HAS BECOME UNPROFITABLE:

Today, as soon as a state officially declares war, it de jure recognizes the existence of a state of war. In the modern world, this automatically makes the initiator subject to prosecution under the Rome Statute of the ICC.

In contracts, “war” is written into a classic force majeure. This allows for the legal interruption of supplies, the avoidance of penalties, or the termination of long-term obligations. Insurance premiums for shipping, aviation, and logistics in a “war” zone skyrocket or are completely eliminated.

For a state, belligerent status can mean technical default or blocked access to international credit lines (IMF, World Bank).

According to classical international law (the Hague Conventions of 1907), if “war” is declared, other countries are obligated to maintain neutrality. Neutral countries have no right to supply weapons, provide their ports, or extend credit to belligerents. Today, states benefit from receiving military assistance from their allies. If a conflict is recognized as a “war,” the allies would formally become violators of neutrality. This explains why today’s “victims of the aggressor” are reluctant to call a war “war.”

The Geneva Conventions formally apply in any conflict; the lack of an official “war” status allows states to speculate on the status of detainees. For example, calling them “terrorists” or “unlawful combatants” rather than “prisoners of war” in order to deprive them of certain legal guarantees.

As a result, calling a war “war” is shooting oneself in the foot.

WHAT ARE THE POWERFUL DOING?

The “powerful” exploit legal loopholes that allow them to resort to violence while formally remaining within the bounds of international law.

Article 51 of the UN Charter permits force only in the event of an armed attack. Powerful players have expanded this concept: they argue that one cannot wait for an attack, but must strike first if the threat is “imminent.”

The following logic is also often used: If state A claims that terrorists are based on the territory of state B, and state B is unable or unwilling to eliminate them, then state A has the “right” to invade for its own security.

We also all know about “proxy wars,” support for the opposition, defense against ethnic genocide, etc.

Those who wield real military power today use the following terms instead of the word “war”:

  • special military operation;
  • humanitarian intervention;
  • peacekeeping mission;
  • counterterrorism;
  • preventive self-defense;
  • peace enforcement operation.

WHAT TO DO?
I wonder: has the prohibition of war made modern conflicts less defined and less regulated?

War used to be declared, with a beginning and an end… Today, we increasingly encounter situations where military action is waged, territories are destroyed, thousands of people die, yet states avoid legally recognizing the very fact of war. We also see double standards in the application of law at the UN, and yet, even this doesn’t prevent permanent members from vetoing it.

Do you think this whole game and farce in international law really matters to humanity? Is there a pressing need to reform international legal institutions? How can we (really) limit the actions of powerful players? And what solutions do you personally envision?

There’s been a very big upsurge in casualties of conflict in the last 15 years, primarily due to conflict in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Africa. Also the Trump administration’s disregard of international conventions and the contempt with which it views the United Nations and the NATO alliance are de-stabilizing factors.

But what can be done about it is the difficult question. This is why the League of Nations and then the United Nations were set up in the first place, but without the support and cooperation of all the power players on the world stage, they’re going to be a paper tiger at best.

So I don’t know if the absence of formal declarations of war have ‘killed’ war. It’s more than they’ve become de-centralised and anarchic. The dreadful slaughter and mass starvation in Sudan as a consequence of conflict between government and mercenary armies is a tragic case in point. Myanmar is another. There seems no government or organisation that has the least influence over ending those conflicts. The Ukraine invasion is in its fourth year with still no sign of resolution. These are all either wars or armed conflicts, and there’s no sign of them dying down anytime soon.

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How many times have wars been declared with a scheduled endpoint? There have been various decades-long wars and the shorter WWI, II, Korea, Vietnam, etc. The wars came to an end because one side was defeated. It doesn’t make much difference to a war’s recipients whether it was declared or not.

States may be shy about legalities, but the two vital features of war – cost and death – are taken seriously. If, that is, the state is being run by rational people, which isn’t always the case.

What seems to have kept the industrialized nations sort of at peace for the last 80 years is a balance of power among potential adversaries – though maintaining that balance – or mutual deterrence – has been extraordinarily expensive, and the strategy isn’t guaranteed to work indefinitely.

Enduring peace would be nice, but I don’t have a lot of hope. What makes for a high-wire balance of mutual deterrence is precisely what makes mutual annihilation an enduring threat.

In an epoch of global warming, increased fresh water scarcity, unstable weather and rapidly changing climate, always-looming agricultural disasters, ocean changes (and decreased production in fisheries), etc. etc. etc. – it is already the case that people are – and will be – fighting to survive. No peace, then.

Coming to think of it, World War One was quickly declared to be ‘the war that ends all wars’ after the Armistice.

We know how that panned out.

You might want to read the OP:

Yes I see your point. It is Orwellian.

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Philosophy of law and war.

Law, whether local or global, matters to humanity. The question is if it is based on human morals which include rights and care of all beings and resources to encourage wellbeing and to discourage harm.

When it comes to ‘war’ - changing its definition does not ‘kill’ it or lessen its real-life effects.
Just as any concept e.g. ‘poverty’.

It would seem that international legal institutions or structures are being ‘reformed’, even as we speak. By the powerful aggressors who disregard and do not recognise morality or legality other than their own.

We can call them ‘war criminals’ no matter the definition they claim for ‘war’ or ‘genocide’: Definitions of Genocide and Related Crimes | United Nations

When rogue nations with criminals at the helm upend legality, destroy civilisations - people and society - what can be done? When and how? Now and with intent?

We will always struggle to come to terms with war and its effects.

The increasing levels of ‘acceptable’ violence by rule-breaking tyrants who curtail the freedom of others - ‘patriots’ now deemed ‘traitors’ according to their new ‘laws’ of revenge and vengeance.

War includes battles of words.

The use and manipulation of language to create chaos and division. To encourage disrespect and hatred of others.

What and where are the limits and tolerance of violence. Who gets to decide? How is injustice inflicted and maintained even when there is a legal system in place?

What are the main flaws of laws?
What should the aim of legislation be? Of what use if not recognised?

What happens when powerful law-makers and breakers are not held to account for injustice?

I don’t envisage any solutions. I’m only thinking aloud…

The aim is for justice and to deter conflict. To defend innocent victims against wrongful aggression. To minimise harm.

To counteract the detrimental effects of ‘religion’ as a tool in war. The wrongful appeals to sacred texts or church dogmas.

Question the acceptance of authoritative religious practices or laws which permit or encourage wrong acts.

What prevents a change to include recent, relevant science to enhance life of, and for, all?
Is it fear - too much of a threat to status quo?

Replace ignorance with knowledge.

Stop the destruction and regression of human and civic rights.

Give as much, if not more, credence to the secular.

Do we need a re-write? A re-build?
Where there’s a will, there’s a way. Words matter.

I think we’d need a global government to have international law that lives up to the name. Otherwise it’s just going to be nice talking points. Entities will complain that others are breaking the rules while having no respect for the rules themselves.

Until such a global government comes into existence, it’s the same as it’s ever been: when you’re in danger, get some allies. If you can’t get any allies because nobody trusts you, then your culture is in danger of being de-selected (from an evolutionary standpoint).